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Existing Evolution's valuation presents a threat-reward asymmetry because the enterprise is the leader in one of the fastest-expanding markets and there are no signs of slowing down. The present valuation of 20x NTM FCF is not representative of such a excellent company, with low debt and 25% ROIC. For 2023, I count on development in revenues of 21.5%, mostly driven by Live games. For 2024 and 2025, I count on RNG growth to be in the low range of management guidance with a 10% YoY growth, though Reside games continue to develop at a 30% price. The core of Evolution's business is Reside games, which represent 84.2% of total revenues for 2Q 2023. The corporation doesn't at present disclose sales for the acquired providers, but since 2020, they have disclosed revenues from Live games (Evolution and Ezugi) and RNG (NetEnt, Red Tiger, Significant Time Gaming, and Nolimit City). NetEnt's revenues for 2020 have been €202M, with €36.8M in profit soon after taxes, giving an acquisition price of 11x revenue. Games like Funky Time really differentiates Evolution from our competitors, and several of our players play the initial ever Evolution game round on Funky Time and after that move on to play also other of our games.
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